Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – December 28
Published 6:16 am Saturday, December 28, 2024
Southeast Division opponents square off when the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Heat are 2.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Venue: State Farm Arena
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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction
- Prediction: –
Heat 115 – Hawks 114
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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat
- Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (225.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 228.3
- The Heat have put together a 14-14-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 13-18-0 mark from the Hawks.
- Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 23.1% of the time. That’s less often than Miami covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (50%).
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the over/under 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (15 out of 28).
- As a moneyline favorite this season, the Hawks are 7-7, while the Heat are 4-7 as moneyline underdogs.
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Hawks Performance Insights
- The Hawks’ defense ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with 119.5 points allowed per game, but their offense has been more effective, averaging 117.2 points per game (seventh-ranked in league).
- Atlanta ranks fourth-best in the NBA by pulling down 46 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 16th in the league (44 allowed per contest).
- The Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are delivering 29.7 per game (third-best in NBA).
- Although Atlanta is committing 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
- So far this year, the Hawks are making 12.6 treys per game (19th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.1% (18th-ranked) from three-point land.
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Heat Performance Insights
- On offense the Heat are the 18th-ranked squad in the NBA (111.3 points per game). On defense they are sixth (108.6 points allowed per game).
- In 2024-25, Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds (43.3 per game) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.2).
- The Heat are 14th in the league in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
- In terms of turnovers, Miami is fifth-best in the league in committing them (12.5 per game). It is 10th in forcing them (14.4 per game).
- The Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and sixth in 3-point percentage (37.8%).
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