Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5

Published 8:38 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

On Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model predicts that the Falcons will earn a victory — keep scrolling for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Falcons are averaging 18.8 points per game on offense, which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. On defense, they rank 14th, allowing 21.3 points per contest. From an offensive perspective, the Buccaneers are compiling 319 total yards per contest (16th-ranked). They rank 18th in the NFL on defense (335.3 total yards surrendered per game).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) Under (44) Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Falcons a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have been favored by 1.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
  • So far this season, just one Atlanta game has gone over the point total.
  • Falcons games have had an average of 44.3 points this season, 0.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • The Buccaneers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • The average total points scored in Buccaneers games (playoffs included) this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.8 21.3 17.7 21.3 22 21
Buccaneers 24.3 19.5 25.7 20.7 20 16

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