Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 4:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
Our computer model predicts a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they meet the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.
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Offensively, the Falcons rank 26th in the NFL with 16.3 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 13th in points allowed (326.7 points allowed per contest). With 343.3 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank 21st, allowing 335.3 total yards per game.
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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
- Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- The over/under in this matchup is 41 points, 4.2 fewer than the average total in this season’s Falcons contests.
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Saints Betting Info
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 43.5% chance to win.
- New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this year.
- The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- This season, games featuring New Orleans have gone over the point total twice.
- The average total for Saints games (playoffs included) is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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