Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 6:16 am Friday, February 28, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) after winning three home road in a row. The Thunder are double-digit favorites by 12.5 points in the contest, which tips at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2025.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Thunder vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 121 – Hawks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 12.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-12.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (242.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 229.8
  • The Thunder have covered more often than the Hawks this season, putting up an ATS record of 35-23-0, as opposed to the 28-31-0 record of the Hawks.
  • Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That’s more often than Oklahoma City covers as a favorite of 12.5 or more (60%).
  • Oklahoma City’s games have gone over the total 58.6% of the time this season (34 out of 58), which is more often than Atlanta’s games have (34 out of 59).
  • The Thunder have an .818 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (45-10) this season while the Hawks have a .436 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (17-22).

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder have been thriving at both ends of the court this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in points per game (118.6) and second-best in points allowed per game (106).
  • So far this year, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.7 boards per game (13th-ranked in NBA) and ceding 45.6 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked).
  • The Thunder are dishing out 26.5 assists per game, which ranks them 13th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Oklahoma City has been shining in terms of turnovers this season, ranking best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.2) and best in forced turnovers per contest (17.2).
  • The Thunder are sinking 14 threes per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 36.1% three-point percentage (13th-ranked).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • On offense the Hawks are the eighth-ranked squad in the NBA (116.6 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (119.2 points allowed per game).
  • With 44.9 rebounds per game and 44.5 rebounds allowed, Atlanta is 11th and 17th in the NBA, respectively.
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the league in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is 25th in the NBA in turnovers committed (15 per game) and second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • The Hawks are 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).

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