NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24

Published 4:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point favorites as they attempt to turn around a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

If you want to make an informed wager on Monday’s game, discover the best bets available below (based on our computer predictions).

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets

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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS

  • The 28.5-point total set for Trae Young on Monday is 4.3 more points than his per-game scoring average.
  • So far this season, Young is 27-for-53 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
  • The Hawks are at the seventh spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (117 points per game), while the Heat concede the eighth-lowest amount of points (110.9 per game).
  • Atlanta has a 22-18 record when finishing with more points than 110.9.

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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS

  • Monday’s over/under for Tyler Herro is 26.5 points, 2.3 more than his season average.
  • Herro has gone over on his points prop on 29 occasions this season (in 53 games with such a prop).
  • The 24th-ranked scoring NBA team (110.1 points per game) is Miami, while Atlanta ranks 28th in the league defensively (119.6 conceded per game).
  • When scoring more points than 119.6, Miami is 9-4.

Bet on Tyler Herro Props with BetMGM

Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)

  • Atlanta’s record against the spread is 27-30-0.
  • Miami has beaten the spread 25 times in 55 games.
  • The Hawks’ ATS record as 1.5-point favorites or more is 5-15.
  • The Heat’s ATS record as 1.5-point underdogs or greater is 10-15.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (230.5)

  • The Hawks’ 57 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 230.5 points 36 times.
  • The Heat and their opponents have combined to score more than 230.5 points in 21 of 55 games this season.
  • The average point total in Atlanta’s outings this year is 234.7, 4.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • Miami’s games this season have had an average of 219.2 points, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s point total.
  • The Hawks are the seventh-highest scoring team in the NBA this year. The Heat have scored the 27th-most points.
  • The Heat have allowed the third-fewest points in NBA play this season, while the Hawks have given up the 29th-fewest.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)

  • This season, the Hawks have been favored 19 times and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
  • The Heat have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (33.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Atlanta has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • This year, Miami has won six of 21 games when listed as at least +100 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Hawks have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

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