A victory by the Indianapolis Colts over the Jacksonville Jaguars is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET (at Lucas Oil Stadium). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Colts own the 15th-ranked offense this season (328.9 yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on defense, ranking fourth-worst with 363.8 yards allowed per game. The Jaguars rank 26th in total yards per game (305.4), but they’ve been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 387.5 total yards allowed per contest.

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Jaguars vs. Colts Predictions and Picks

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Jaguars Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Jaguars based on the moneyline is 40.8%.
• Jacksonville has compiled a 9-7-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread six times this season (6-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• So far this year, eight of Jacksonville’s 16 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 1.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Jaguars games (postseason included) of 43.9.

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Colts Betting Info

• The Colts have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.6% in this contest.
• Indianapolis has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• The Colts have covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• A total of eight out of 16 Indianapolis games this season have gone over the point total.
• The over/under in this game is 45 points, 0.8 higher than the average total in Colts games this season (playoffs included).

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Jaguars vs. Colts 2024 Scoring Insights

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