Our computer model predicts a victory for the Washington Commanders when they play the Atlanta Falcons at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Commanders have the 19th-ranked defense this season (23.2 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 28.8 points per game. With 21.8 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons rank 17th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 20th, surrendering 23.3 points per contest.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 39.2%.
• Atlanta has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover or pushing nine times.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• So far this year, five of Atlanta’s 15 games with a set number have hit the over.
• Falcons games average 46 total points (playoffs included), 0.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have a 65.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Washington has compiled a 9-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2.
• So far this season, 10 of Washington’s 15 games have gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 more than the average point total for Commanders games this season (playoffs included).

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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