On Sunday, Oct. 20 at 9:30 a.m. ET, the Jacksonville Jaguars will face the New England Patriots at Wembley Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Jaguars will win — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Jaguars sport the 23rd-ranked scoring offense this year (18.8 points per game), and they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst with 29.7 points allowed per game. The Patriots rank second-worst in points per game (13.8), but they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st in the NFL with 23.8 points allowed per contest.

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Jaguars vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

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Jaguars Betting Info

• The Jaguars have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this matchup.
• Jacksonville has won two games against the spread this season.
• So far this season, three of Jacksonville’s six games have gone over the point total.
• The average total for Jaguars games this season (postseason included) has been 45.2, 3.2 points higher than the total for this game.

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Patriots Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Patriots based on the moneyline is 33.3%.
• New England has a record of just 1-4-1 against the spread this year.
• The Patriots have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
• So far this year, three of New England’s six games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• Games involving the Patriots this year have averaged 39.3 points per game, a 2.7-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Jaguars vs. Patriots 2024 Scoring Insights

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