Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 4:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

According to our computer model, the Houston Texans will defeat the Jacksonville Jaguars when they square off at NRG Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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From an offensive standpoint, the Texans rank 21st in the NFL with 18.3 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 23rd in points allowed (260.7 points allowed per contest). This season has been ugly for the Jaguars on both sides of the ball, as they are compiling just 13.3 points per contest (third-worst) and surrendering 28.3 points per game (fourth-worst).

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Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Texans (-6) Under (44.5) Texans 25, Jaguars 17

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The Jaguars have a 31.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Jacksonville has covered once in three chances against the spread this year.
  • Games featuring Jacksonville have hit the over once this year.
  • The average total for Jaguars games is 45.7 points, 1.2 more than this game’s over/under.

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Texans Betting Info

  • The Texans have an implied moneyline win probability of 73.3% in this matchup.
  • Houston has not won against the spread this season in three chances.
  • The Texans have not covered the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • Houston games have hit the over once this season.
  • The point total average for Texans games this season is 46.8, 2.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Jaguars vs. Texans 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texans 18.3 24.7 19 13 18 30.5
Jaguars 13.3 28.3 13 18 13.5 33.5

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