Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

The Miami Dolphins will meet the Jacksonville Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Dolphins will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Dolphins ranked 10th in total defense last year (318.3 yards allowed per game), but they thrived on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 401.3 total yards per game. The Jaguars totaled 339.5 yards per game on offense last season (13th in NFL), and they ranked 22nd defensively with 342.8 yards allowed per game.

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Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (-3.5) Under (49) Dolphins 26, Jaguars 21

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 40.8% chance of a victory for the Jaguars.
  • Jacksonville compiled a 9-8-0 ATS record last season.
  • The Jaguars covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • In Jacksonville games last year, combined scoring went over the point total eight times.
  • The over/under for this game is six points higher than the average scoring total for Jaguars games last season (43).

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Dolphins Betting Info

  • The Dolphins have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.6% in this game.
  • Miami compiled a 10-7-0 record against the spread last season.
  • When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites last season, the Dolphins had an ATS record of 7-2.
  • Miami games hit the over nine out of 17 times last season.
  • The over/under in this game is 49 points, two higher than the average total in Dolphins games last season.

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Jaguars vs. Dolphins 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Dolphins 29.2 23 31.9 17.3 26.1 29.4
Jaguars 22.2 21.8 20.8 20.7 23.8 23.1

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